ISW Projects Seats Won from Iraqi Elections Results
A new ISW fact sheet calculates the likely makeup of Iraq's new
parliament based on seat allocations from each province
D.C. Institute for the Study of War (ISW) Research Director, Marisa Cochrane
Sullivan, has published a two-page fact sheet that calculates the Iraqi
parliamentary seats that will be likely allocated to the electoral coalitions
based on the available data released from the Iraqi High Electoral Commission
(IHEC). Seats in the Iraqi Parliament are allocated province by province not
as a percentage of the national vote
"The race is extremely
tight; Malik's election list has a slim lead but his return as the Prime
Minister is not a done deal. He still needs to form a governing coalition with
at least one other large block,â explained Mrs. Sullivan.
âThis will make for contentious negotiations. "
"Former Prime Minister and secular politician, Ayad al-Allawi,
is currently in second place with his Iraqiyyah list, a coalition with cross
sectarian parties," said ISW President Kimberly Kagan."If
Maliki's rivals ally with Allawi, we could see a new governing coalition and a
new Prime Minister which could dramatically reshape Iraqi politics."
Download the results: Iraq's Preliminary Elections
Results by Marisa Cochrane Sullivan
Key facts from
receive the latest information on Iraq, stay connected with ISW on facebook and twitter.
- Currently, Prime Minister
Maliki's State of Law coalition is in the lead with roughly 75-82
- Ayad al-Allawi's
Iraqiyyah list is in second with 66-74 seats.
- The predominantly-Shi'a
Iraqi National Alliance is in third with roughly 58-63 seats.
- Kurdistani List is in fourth with roughly 33-36
Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public
policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military
affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education.
We are committed to improving the nation's ability to execute military
operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve U.S. strategic