Recent
events in Afghanistan have raised serious doubts about staying the course,
despite testimony this week
from General John Allen, commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan, that we are
making “real” and “sustainable” progress. Here are five reasons why Americans
should rethink the war and support an expedient withdrawal.
1.
Safe Havens Are Myths
In
2009, President Obama declared that our
strategy in Afghanistan had a clear mission: “to disrupt, dismantle and defeat
al-Qaeda and its extremist allies.” What was less clear was why bringing a
modern army to Afghanistan would stop al-Qaeda from attacking America. Would-be
terrorists have reduced their dependence on “base
camps” and “physical havens.” They can plan, organize and train from virtually anywhere. The 2008 Mumbai
attacks, for example, were
planned in the same Hamburg mosque where 9/11 was plotted. Countering al-Qaeda requires discrete
operations, intelligence sharing and surgical strikes when necessary.
Unfortunately, U.S. officials remain hostage to the outdated notion that a
specific territory matters. Many assume incorrectly that the defeat of al-Qaeda
depends upon a prolonged troop presence in Afghanistan and elsewhere. But such a
presence is neither necessary nor sustainable.
2.
Creating a Self-sufficient Afghan State Is Not an Exit Strategy
Remaining
in Afghanistan to the point when locals can stand on their own is the back door
to an indefinite presence. A detailed report released last August by the independent,
bipartisan Commission on Wartime Contracting found that the U.S. government
contracted for dozens of clinics, barracks, hospitals and other facilities that
exceeded Afghan funding capabilities. In essence, the coalition spent tens of
billions of dollars to build
physical infrastructure that goes
beyond the Afghan government’s financial and technical capacity to sustain. The
American people have grown increasingly skeptical that a viable and independent
Afghan state can be built at a reasonable price.
Their cynicism is justified.
3.
Al-Qaeda Is Not the Taliban
We’re
often told that failure to create a minimally functioning government in
Afghanistan will turn that country into a base for the Taliban and hence,
al-Qaeda. That argument is specious. It assumes that the Taliban would again host al-Qaeda—the very
organization whose protection led to the Taliban’s overthrow—and that terrorists
won’t attack America if there’s a Western-backed client regime in Kabul. U.S.
leaders have lumped al-Qaeda (a
loose jihadist network responsible for 9/11) with the Taliban (an indigenous
Pashtun-dominated movement with no global mission). As a result, the United
States remains at war with the Taliban, the Haqqani network, Gulbuddin
Hekmatyar’s Hezb-e-Islami Group and other indigenous militants who pose no
threat to America’s sovereignty or physical existence. Meanwhile, America’s
suppression of al-Qaeda is not seen as the victory it is.
4.
Current Policies Destabilize Pakistan
A
year before leaving her post in Pakistan, former U.S. ambassador to Islamabad
Anne Patterson warned her superiors
that while the “unilateral targeting of al-Qaeda operatives and assets” was
important to countering terrorism, it also “risks destabilizing the Pakistani
state, alienating both the civilian government and the military leadership, and
provoking a broader governance crisis without finally achieving the goal.” Drone
strikes, ground raids and other covert activities in Pakistan have proven to be
a double-edged sword: helping decimate al-Qaeda’s senior leadership but also
provoking terrorism on American soil, increasing the Pakistani people’s hatred
of America—and thus their passive acceptance of
anti-American militants—and adding to the dangerous destabilization of
a volatile nuclear-armed state. As a 2011 report published by
the Middle
East Policy Council warned, “Rather than calming the region through the precise
elimination of terrorist leaders, however, the accelerating counterterror
program has compounded violence and instability.” Americans shouldn’t forget
Faisal Shahzad, the Pakistani immigrant who in 2010 pleaded guilty to trying to
detonate an S.U.V. packed with explosives in Manhattan’s Times Square. Among
Shahzad’s motives wasthe killing of Muslims by the U.S.-led drone campaign.
5.
Remaining In Afghanistan Weakens America
Many
prominent opinion leaders argue that withdrawing from Afghanistan will boost
jihadism globally and make America look weak. Perhaps, but propagating these
fears has been more useful in selling a bad foreign policy to the American
public. Whether America “cuts and runs” or stays and bleeds, it’s win-win for
America’s enemies. After all, one of bin Laden’s primary goals was to
damage the U.S. economy. From a strategic and economic perspective, no tangible
gains could outweigh the costs of America maintaining an indefinite presence in
Afghanistan, especially when its landlocked position will render whatever gains
we do achieve vulnerable to sabotage from surrounding states. If the 9/11 wars have
taught us anything, it’s that weak local enemies who enjoy home-field advantage
can nullify our
overwhelming military superiority. The lesson to draw is not that America should
never give up after having intervened, but that we should avoid staying course
no matter the cost.